In-Cap Thematic

 

Current Issue: Agriculture / Infrastructure

High Guaranteed Coupon plus the opportunity to share in Capital Growth / Recovery in Agriculture and Infrastructure, two sectors that will strongly benefit in the future as demographics, growing urban population and higher quality of living standards will lead to increased consumption in these sectors and subsequent ancillary sub-sectors.   

Features

In-Cap Thematic issued by BNP Paribas and marketed by PCP.

How In-Cap Thematic Works

The Reference Basket

In-Cap Thematic is linked to the evolution of a basket of 15 Blue Chip stocks. The Reference Basket is made up of the five stocks which, at the observation date, (end year 4), have recorded the lowest performance from inception. If the product is rolled over to year 5, a second observation date, (end year 5), is set and the five lowest stocks on this date form the new Reference Basket.

BASKET OF STOCKS
Mosaic Co / The CF Industries Holdings Inc
Archer-Daniels-Midland Co Yara International ASA
Syngenta AG Williams Cos Inc
Potash Corp of Saskatchewan Hyundai Heavy Industries
Deere & Co Atlantia SpA
Monsanto Co Exelon Corp
Kubota Corp Caterpillar Inc
Veolia Environment  

For more details on the Basket of Stocks click here to download BNP Paribas’ In-Cap Thematic presentation

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60% Barrier Level

A 60% Barrier Level is set at the outset and used to measure the performance of the stocks on the observation date. If the average value of the Reference Basket is above the 60% Barrier Level at the observation date, (end year 4), investors will receive a fourth 12% Coupon and 100% Capital Returned, as well as any positive performance of the Reference Basket (above 100% from inception). This means the Reference Basket can fall by a combined 199% before the Barrier is breached. If this happens the product is rolled over to a second observation period, (end year 5).

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The Mechanism

End Year 1 Payout of a 12% Guaranteed Coupon
End Year 2 Payout of a 12% Guaranteed Coupon
End Year 3 Payout of a 12% Guaranteed Coupon
End Year 4 If the Reference Basket is above the 60% barrier at Observation Date:
Payout of 12% Coupon
+ Early Recall with 100% Capital Returned
+ 100% Positive Performance of the Reference Basket (if above 100% issue date value)

If the Reference Basket is below the 60% barrier at Observation Date:
No Coupon is paid out
The product continues to the following year

End Year 5 If the Reference Basket is above the 60% barrier at Observation Date:
Payout of 12% Coupon
+ 100% Capital Returned 
+ 100% Positive Performance of the Reference Basket (if above 100% issue date value)

If the Reference Basket is below the 60% barrier at Observation Date:
No Coupon is paid out
Redemption Value = Final Value of Reference Basket

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Solid Back Testing Results

BNP Paribas have conducted hypothetical back testing analysis* by observing historical results of stocks constituting the basket. 3473 simulations were computed from January 1990 to May 2003 with the following results:

In 98% of Cases – Early Recall in Year 4
In more than 98% of cases investors would have received a 12% Coupon and 100% Capital Returned in year 4.

In 100% of Cases – 100% Capital would have been returned
In the remaining 2% of cases all investors would have received a 12% Coupon and 100% Capital Returned in year 5.

In 100% of Cases – Average Annual Returns would have been more than 9%
And in 45% of cases, investors would have received average annual returns of more than 13%.

Average Annual Return on Backtesting
Minimum 9.83%
Average 14.57%
Maximum 36.62%

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Tradable Asset with Daily Liquidity

In-Cap Thematic is a tradable asset with full daily liquidity. It has an identifiable value and can be cashed at any time between one year after issue and maturity. BNP Paribas operates a secondary market from the beginning of the second year onwards and guarantees to ‘buy back’ the investment, or a proportion of it, with a bid-offer spread of 1% of the amount cashed, pricing subject to market conditions.

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Fact sheet

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